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In-Depth Coverage

Original Commentaries

12/11/08
Toward Resolution  —President of Israel Shimon Peres. Interview with Middle East Bulletin.
11/25/08
U.S. Engagement with Iran: A How to Guide  — Karim Sadjadpour, associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Original Commentary for Middle East Bulletin.
11/20/08
Pakistan: Learning the Right Lessons from Iraq  —Senator Robert P. Casey, Jr. (D-PA), Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Original Commentary for Middle East Bulletin.

Setting the Record Straight

A Shared Interest

"With his enthusiastic embrace of the so-called Saudi peace plan, Olmert is committing Israel to accepting the Arab narrative of the Arab-Israeli conflict. … With Olmert now giving his stamp of approval to the Saudi plan, he is denying the country its moral right to defend itself both militarily and diplomatically."
—Caroline Glick, deputy managing editor, The Jerusalem Post; senior fellow for Middle Eastern Affairs, Center for Security Policy, "Tzipi and the Drug Lords," The Jerusalem Post, November 27, 2008 versus
  • “Israel rejected the Initiative in the past without examining it in depth. According to the common wisdom, the more Arab partners involved, the more they’ll be pushing us and be in favor of the Palestinians. I think that in the present situation in the Arab and Muslim world, where we see strengthening of extremism that bothers moderate Arab states no less than it bothers us, the Arab states have an interest that such an agreement comes to fruition. And for that to happen, if there is a need to push the Palestinians or assist them, I think this is exactly the time to do that.”
    —Maj. Gen (ret.) Danny Rothschild, president, Council for Peace and Security, interview, Israeli radio, Reshet Bet, November 2, 2008 (translated by Middle East Bulletin)
  • Middle East Analysis

    • Putting the Arab Peace Initiative Into Action —Ghaith al-Omari, director of advocacy, American Task Force on Palestine; former foreign policy adviser to Palestinian President Abbas. Original Commentary for Middle East Bulletin.
    • Peace Plan Needs PR Backing —Roula Khalaf (Financial Times)
    • A Comprehensive Agenda —Ezzedine Choukri-Fishere, former adviser to the Egyptian foreign minister, & Omar Dajani, former legal adviser to the Palestinian negotiating team (Al-Ahram Weekly)
    November 18, 2008

    On November 16, the 40-member Iraqi cabinet approved a proposed security agreement with the United States. The pact, passed by a 27-1 margin, sets the legal framework for the status of more than 150,000 U.S. troops stationed in roughly 400 bases throughout the country. The proposed agreement is meant to take the place of the current UN mandate permitting multinational forces in Iraq, which expires at the end of the year. The pact is still pending approval of the Iraqi parliament, which remains divided over the agreement. The presidency council, consisting of President Jalal Talabani and his two deputies, must also approve the proposed deal.

    Security Agreement Details
    The agreement reportedly contains 31 articles including certain key provisions:
    Establishes June 30, 2009 as the date for the withdrawal of U.S. forces from all cities and towns; sets December 31, 2011 as the date for withdrawal of all U.S. troops from Iraq
    Prevents the United States from using Iraq as a base for attacks on neighboring countries
    Allows for joint Iraqi-U.S. panels to try U.S. soldiers and defense contractors if they commit serious crimes while off duty and off base
    • Allows the Iraqi government to try nearly 16,400 detainees currently being held by the United States in Iraqi courts
    Requires U.S. forces to seek permission from the Iraqi government to search homes
    Provides Iraqis with the right to examine incoming shipments, including those with weapons, destined for U.S. recipients

    Progression of Negotiations
    In November 2007, the United States and Iraq agreed to a Declaration of Principles that set general principles for the countries’ political, cultural, economic and security relations. This arrangement took the form of a security agreement and a more general strategic framework agreement covering issues not included in the proposed security agreement. The Iraqi government stated it would no longer request an extension of the UN mandate legalizing the presence of multinational troops in Iraq past December 2008. The sides had expected to reach an agreement by July, but negotiations slowed due to concerns regarding details of the pact. U.S. and Iraqi negotiators reportedly reached an understanding after the United States agreed to certain Iraqi amendments laid out in late October.

    Key U.S. policy shifts in response to Iraqi demands, including a promise to set a concrete date for troop withdrawals and providing Iraq with a degree of authority in criminal cases involving U.S. forces, led Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki to support the agreement, paving the way for its passage through the cabinet. In addition, various Iraqi Shiite politicians said Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the most influential Iraqi Shiite cleric, reportedly offered support for the agreement under certain conditions, and this influenced the cabinet’s decision.

    Next Steps
    The Council of Representatives (COR), Iraq’s parliament, must still approve legislation that includes both the security agreement and the strategic framework agreement. Although Article 58 of the Iraqi Constitution says that international treaties and agreements require ratification by a two-thirds majority of the COR, it is still unclear whether the pact will need to be passed by a simple or two-thirds majority. The accord faced criticism from Sadrists, led by the Shia cleric Moktada al-Sadr, and some Sunni politicians during its first reading in the COR on November 17. Opponents sought to gather support to demand Maliki and other cabinet officials answer questions about the accord in parliament. Sadrists contended the ratification process was unconstitutional and threatened to bring the matter before the court, while also planning to submit a bill requiring a two-thirds majority for parliamentary approval.

    If it passes the COR, the security agreement will need to be ratified by Iraq’s presidency council, consisting of President Talabani, a Kurd, and the two vice presidents, Tariq al-Hashimi, a Sunni, and Adil Abdul Mahdi, a Shiite. The parliament’s deputy speaker indicated he expected the COR to vote on the security agreement by November 24, a day before a scheduled 15-day recess.

    U.S. Concerns
    Congress has expressed concerns that the Bush administration has not consulted with it throughout the negotiations on the proposed security pact. A bipartisan group of U.S. senators introduced a bill in August, since referred to the Foreign Relations Committee, prohibiting the Bush administration from entering into binding security deals without receiving prior approval from Congress. Several members of Congress, including Congressman Ike Skelton, chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, have expressed concern about possible provisions that would allow the prosecution of U.S. forces in Iraqi courts.